This update of U.S egg-production statistics, costs and prices is sponsored by Big Dutchman USA for the information of producers and stakeholders

FEBRUARY HIGHLIGHTS

• February 2025 USDA ex-farm blended USDA nest-run, benchmark price for conventional eggs from caged hens was 740 cents per dozen, up 156 cents per dozen or 27.1 percent from the January 2025 value of 582 cents per dozen. The corresponding February 2023 and 2024 values were respectively $2.11 and $1.33 cents per dozen. For annual comparison, average monthly USDA benchmark price over 2023 was 146.0 cents per dozen compared to 247 cents per dozen for 2024. Stock levels and prices prior to the onset of flock depletions due to HPAI indicated a relative seasonal balance between supply and demand. Future nest-run and wholesale prices will be largely dependent on consumer demand for shell eggs and products and the rate of replacement of pullets and hens depleted due to HPAI. Other considerations include diversion to shell sales from the egg-breaking sector in an interconnected industry.
• Fluctuation in wholesale price is attributed in part to the amplification of upward and downward swings associated with the commercial benchmark price-discovery system in use. An additional factor influencing pricing is the proportion of shell eggs supplied under cost-plus contracts accentuating the upward and downward price trajectory of uncommitted eggs. Highly pathogenic avian influenza is currently the major driver of price with a high incidence rate. Approximately 40 million hens and at least 2.0 million pullets were depleted in 2024 with to 31 million birds in 31 complexes or farms year to date.
• February 2025 USDA average nest-run production cost for conventional eggs from caged flocks over four regions (excluding SW and West), applying updated inputs was unchanged from January 2025 at 76.1 cents per dozen. The February average nest run production cost for other than caged hens was estimated by the EIC to be unchanged at 95.3 cents per dozen. Approximately 60 cents per dozen should be added to the USDA benchmark nest-run costs to cover processing, packing material and transport to establish a realistic cost value as delivered to warehouses.
• February 2025 USDA benchmark nest-run margin for conventional eggs attained a positive value of 663.9 cents per dozen compared to a positive margin of 505.9 cents per dozen in January 2025. Average nest-run monthly margin for 2024 was 170.8 cents per dozen compared to 64.2 cents per dozen over 2023 and 155 cents in 2022.
• February 2025 USDA benchmark nest-run margin for all categories of cage-free eggs attained a positive value of 820.7 cents per dozen compared to a positive margin of 713.7 cents per dozen in January 2025. Average nest-run monthly margin over 2024 was 440 cents per dozen compared with 100 cents per dozen in 2023, relatively unaffected by HPAI compared to the preceding and following years.
• The January 2025 national flock (over 30,000 hens per farm) was stated by the USDA to be down 10.4 million hens (rounded and a probable over-count) to 297.8 million compared to the revised December 2024 value of 308.2 million and relative to 326 million before the advent of HPAI in 2022. Approximately 3.5 million hens returned to production from molt in December together with projected maturation of 26 million pullets, with this number offset by depletion of an unknown number of spent hens.
• January 2025 pullet chick hatch of 28.1 million was up 1.5 million (+5.6 percent) from December 2024 reflecting increased industry demand for replacements of depopulated flocks.
• January 2025 exports of shell eggs and products combined were down 15.9 percent from December 2024 to 369,000 case equivalents representing the theoretical production of 4.9 million hens. Shell egg exports totaling 239,000 cases were dominated by Canada (84 percent of volume) and the Caribbean nations (15 percent). With respect to 130,000 case equivalents of egg products, Japan, (31 percent of volume), Canada, (25 percent) and Mexico, (18 percent) collectively represented 81 percent of shipments. Volumes exported are based on the needs of importers, competition, availability in the U.S. and FOB prices offered.

                      (insert US map showing regions)

TABLES SHOWING KEY PARAMETERS FOR FEBRUARY 2025.

Summary tables for the latest USDA February 2025 flock statistics, costs and unit prices made available by the EIC on March 7^th 2025 are arranged, summarized, tabulated and compared with values from the previous February 10^th 2025 release reflecting January 2025 costs and production data as applicable. Monthly comparisons of production data and costs are based on revised USDA values.

VOLUMES OF PRODUCTION REFLECTING THE ENTIRE INDUSTRY                                                                                   

*USDA Revised

• Revised USDA/EIC Note 1. Texas excluded to maintain confidentiality  

PROPORTION OF U.S. TOTAL HENS BY STATE, 2024                                                                   

Based on a nominal denominator of 282 million hens in flocks over 30,000 covering 95 percent of the U.S complement.

USDA has amended inclusion of specific states in regions and eliminated Texas data to protect confidentiality of Company flock

Sizes

1. Values rounded to 0.1% 

(insert Fig 10 leading states)

Rate of Lay, weighted hen-week (USDA)   81.7%* January 2025.    82.3% January 2025

*Revised USDA

*Revised, using data from USDA Livestock, Dairy and Poultry Outlook February 18^th 2025 taking into account demand from the food service sector and presumably including the effect of HPAI depopulation.

EGG INVENTORIES AT BEGINNING OF February 2025:

EGGS BROKEN UNDER FSIS INSPECTION (MILLION CASES)   December  2024, 6.08*     January   2025,  5.87       

EXPORTS JANUARY 2025: (Expressed as shell-equivalent cases of 360 eggs).

*Representing 1.8 percent of National production in JANUARY 2025 (1.1% shell, 0.6% products).                    

COSTS AND UNIT REVENUE VALUES¹ FOR CONVENTIONAL EGGS FROM CAGED HENS

Notes:   1. Excludes SW and West 

Components of Production cost per dozen:-

Ex Farm Margin (rounded to nearest cent) according to USDA values reflecting FEBRUARY 2025:-

                                                         740.0 cents per dozen¹- 76.1 cents per dozen = 663.9 cents per dozen         (January 2025 comparison:         582.0 cents per dozen – 76.1 cents per dozen  = 505.9 cents per dozen.

Note 1:  USDA Blended nest-run egg price          

1. Unrealistic USDA prices based on promotional prices with few participating stores, non-representative of shelf prices!

      (insert Fig 2 Farm egg value, Fig 3 Consumer retail, Fig 4 Estimated quarterly)

COSTS AND UNIT REVENUE FOR EGGS FROM CAGE-FREE HENS

Components of Production cost for cage-free eggs, per dozen:-

Ex Farm Margin (rounded to nearest cent) according to USDA values reflecting negotiated price for FEBRUARY 2025:-

Cage-Free brown     916.0 cents per dozen¹- 95.3 cents per dozen =  820.7 cents per dozen

January 2025:-         809.0 cents per dozen -  95.3 cents per dozen =  713.7 cents per dozen  

1.       Contract price, nest-run loose. Range 135 to 235 c/doz. unchanged since July and totally unrealistic.

1. Negotiated price, loose. Range $6.00 to $8.98 per dozen
2. Unrealistic USDA values based on promotional prices with few participating stores non-representative of shelf prices!

* Conventional (non-organic) feed

Feed prices used are the average national and regional values for caged flocks. Excludes organic feeds with prices substantially higher than conventional.